Petia Koeva Brooks
The Navigator
Judgement in the fog, money, risk and the call others cannot make.
Koeva Brooks reads as The Navigator through her command of probabilistic scenario mapping under acute uncertainty, she doesn't predict, she charts ranges, from $89/barrel baselines to GDP impact corridors of 0.2 to 1.2 points.
“We really see a whole spectrum of outcomes, and we have seen indeed the countries that were energy importers and that were not plugged in into the AI investment cycle are the ones that are experiencing worse outcomes.”
Mapping divergent global trajectoriesundated
“The impact of all of that could really be quite sizable for the global economy — we have numbers that range from point two point three for global growth all the way to one point two.”
Quantifying AI correction downside riskundated
“At least some of the mechanisms that were in place so far, including the uses of reserves, may not be as viable of a tool going forward, given that now reserves have come to lower levels.”
Flagging diminishing navigational buffersundated
Bloomberg Talks: “IMF Deputy Director Koeva Brooks Talks AI in The Middle East”
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