YouSaid · the spoken record

Alex Thompson

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17
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2024-07-23
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2024-07-23
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Every line below is reproduced as it was said and linked to the record it came from. Nothing here is summarised or generated. Directory · Search · Corrections

  1. That's the risk of picking Kamala Harris as your nominee She is not distinct from the Kern administration. She is inextricably tied to this administration. And the Vori scene, the first ad from the Trump super PAC was very focused on basically saying she is Joe Biden. And I think the Democratic Party, especially elites in the Democratic Party, after the debate, have convinced themselves that all the problems they have are only tied to Joe Biden's age. And not to their record. And the Trump campaign is saying, no, like there's also problems with your record. And we will see how the Democratic Party responds to that and how voters respond to that. And we honestly don't know.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  2. though like most both candidates are not talking about COVID at all, I think COVID is sort of this. Quiet factor in how people are deciding.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  3. That's a great question. If you are any candidate in this race, you want to be Donald Trump right now. The fact of matter is that this is probably the strongest position Donald Trump has been in in his entire short political career. The Republican Party is more united behind him than ever. He is also not in the midst of a once-in-a-century pandemic. And, you know, there was a world in which we think back where even though Trump was dealing with COVID, he only lost by 45,000 votes across three states. There's also a world in which the country just after the sort of dual traumas of COVID and what happened with the economy is much more risk averse. They're not happy with the status quo, but they're actually much more risk averse. They're wary of change, at least it sort of changed Trump is promising.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  4. And yet he chose to endorse her. I think the thing to remember is like there's this frame that like, oh, Biden bowed out gracefully. That's not what happened here. Joe Biden did not want to bow out of this race. I think just listen to every single appearance he's had the last four weeks since the debate. Joe Biden was pushed out of this race by the Democratic And then once he decided okay, I'm getting out of this race, then he basically just has a decision, do I endorse Kamala or not? Yeah. And based on sort of what we talked about with this loyalty code, I think he basically said, I prefer to endorse Harris rather than not.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  5. And was not always a team player, as she was looking out for her political future and Kamala Harris' team at times felt that the White House was almost intentionally not trying to give her clear wins. Again, this is from the Harris side. They never had evidence, but it was a feeling that the White House didn't want her to be seen as like a clear alternative going into a re-election where there were some doubts about Biden.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  6. Full staff, but we have a significant portion of it. The 47 people that were on her Senate staff disclosure at the beginning of her term of those 47, only five are still there. Wow. And I even compare, you know, DC is a churning place. So like I compared it to Vice President Biden's first term, same period of time of the Obama administration's first term of the 38 people that started with Joe Biden at the beginning of the Obama term. 17 were still there at the same period time. So this is an abnormal level of churn and staff turnover the vice president has. She also at times with regards to migration and other issues the White House felt that she walked away from responsibility rather than embraced it.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  7. Yeah, I think there are three parts to it. One is his own ego, right? Where he had sort of convinced himself that he was the indispensable man. The second part is that they're just very different people and very different generations. And I don't think, in some ways, Biden didn't completely appreciate her skills because his skills are so about like being a politician from Delaware. It's all about how many hands can you shake because you can basically shake everyone's hand in the state. And then the most uncharitable explanation towards Kamala Harris is that, you know, Biden was just really not wowed by her performance the last three and a half years. And there was this feeling that she churned through staff to an incredible extent and give you like one stat. So, you know, about half of the vice president staff is paid through the Senate and that requires staff disclosure. So we don't have the

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  8. There was definitely an argument I heard from Democratic operatives, including operatives close to potential presidential candidates. That believed in open convention as chaotic as it would be would actually be the least bad option of the bad options available for this reason is that you would grab eyeballs attention and you'd bring energy right to a party that really needed it as chaotic as the campaign might end up being it would be just like this adrenaline, like multiple adrenaline shot as you'd have this big debate.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  9. Kamala Harris is not just going to let the Biden campaign run as it was before, but she also doesn't want to change it enough that it falls to the ground. How are the ways that she changes the campaign was operating? Who does she install that she trusts, but also how does she do in a way that does not necessarily create sort of a free fall?

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  10. And now they're in a situation where maybe they've leveled out, but still like an engine or two is out. So I guess continue the metaphor way too long is that they are trying to fix the campaign while they are airborne and very close to the ground. And that is what Kamala Harris and her team is going to try to do. And really the story that people should be paying attention to the next month is

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  11. Yeah, is it the metaphor is a bit tweaked in this scenario because you did have a plan that was flying, now you can argue it wasn't flying very well, but like the Biden for president re-election campaign, it was airborne, right? And then basically the debate turned into multiple engine failure, like steep dive.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  12. I think there's probably some of that in the same way that how many voters really shared Brown endorsed Kamala Harris. I don't know. But Jared Brown is like an influential figure among a certain group of people. And it's a signal to them. And a powerful group of people and Sherry Brown's center of Ohio, if people don't know. And like, I think, you know, Reid Hoffman's sort of the same. Where he is a signal to other people in his sort of influential group, and that is why it is important. That being said, some of it, I think, just has to do with the mic.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  13. Is sort of strange. I mean, some of this is the post citizens United World, where one billionaire can have such a huge effect. You have, I think Elon Musk last week, the Wall Street Journal reported would do 40 plus million dollars in a super PAC backing Trump. You have these people of immense wealth being able to fuel tens of millions of dollars of campaign. And that means it's worthy of tracking them. I think it is this. This strange dynamic that we just increasingly just accept as normal, but maybe is a bit off.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  14. Yes, exactly. The money thing is complicated because, you know, the DNC has 100 plus million dollars cash on hand and that can be used for any democratic nominee. The Biden-Harris team also has $100 million-ish in hard money. And some lawyers argue while Biden's dropped out because Harris is on the ticket, she can use it. As Harris for president. And there are some people, it's a minority opinion that says like, no, you actually can't do that. And there are some people that say like, it doesn't matter if it's Harris or the nominee, you can actually transfer that money to the DNC anyway. This is the first election cycle between the Trump trials and Hunter's trials where my mom was finally correct and suggesting I go to law school.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  15. There definitely was flexibility. I think if Joe Biden had not explicitly endorsed her, this would be a very different thing. And you saw some prominent Democrats resist the momentum. Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, Keem Jeffries, Alden not endorsed her yesterday. That was intentional to see how this would play out.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  16. Yeah, absolutely. The Democratic Party has made clear they want after what truly was a agonizing three and a half weeks for the party. They just want to have a nominee and just have this news cycle from hell be over. The thing that, again, surprising is. We haven't really heard from Harris In a while means most of her events are very tightly controlled, they're friendly environments on friendly issues. We really haven't seen her do a tough interview for a while. And what happens if in like a week or two she finally does it, big sit down and she's a mess, you know, then I think there might be some buyer's remorse, but also maybe like there's not that much time to election day and Democrats want to get on with organizing and trying to beat Trump, in which case, you know, having this very fast coronation makes a lot of sense.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  17. You know, I don't think it's knowing Joe Biden is not so surprising that he endorsed Kamala Harris, but I guess I was surprised that the rest of the party went along so fast.

    2024-07-23 · Masters of Scale · Rapid Response: What the Democrats' campaign changeup means for business, with Axios’ Alex Thompson · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT