YouSaid · the spoken record
David Epstein
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- 2024-09-02
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- 2024-09-02
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“Are objectively across cultures things that people value. So this could be like heroism, right? Loyalty, people value that other culture, and that you are subjectively attracted to. And one of the ones that I think is valued in a lot of cultures that I'm attracted to, but that I've not been good at is forgiveness. And so my project is that's a narrative value I want to start building into my story to be a more forgiving person because it's not, it's, I'm not good at it and I need to get good at it and I'm afraid that I won't get good at it, but I really want to.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I don't know. I think it's like this. Feeling of always want to be in becoming, like this feeling of starting over and improving that I find intoxicating. But I don't think that has to apply to personal relationships. And so a value that I really want to work on, I read this book that kind of influenced me about philosophy, and it centered what's called narrative values. These values that”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Dead to me. And that led me to do these other interesting things. But I sometimes worry that I have this like pathologic, why can't I just accept this thing as good and let it be good? And it worries me much less in my work life. It worries me a little in my work life that I'll always want to burn something down and start over. But it does worry me there. But I have more of a fear of it in the context of like friendships because I know what I've done in the past. I think I'm better with it now. Thinking about the values I have in my life going forward, I don't want to. Several relationships that were hugely important to me. Went away for things that were preventable because I was like, if it's not perfect, burn it down. And I think that was a really destructive impulse.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I have That I think in some ways is good, but And fits with some of the things I've said, but in some ways it's bad to want to start things over a lot. And sometimes that means burning them down, even if they're going well. And in the past, I think I had that tendency with some of my personal relationships to I couldn't accept something going well. And it had to change or get better. And that led me to sometimes, I think, burn down some personal relationships in ways that I'm embarrassed of, that I regret. And I see this even in my own work where I actually value it because I end up doing all these new novel things. But it's almost like I can't, and it's good because after my first book, they're like, brand yourself as a sports gene guy. I'm like, no, that's dead to me now. It's dead to me before it's even published.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Those other questions are things that are so top of mind for me that it's like a choice between which of the three things that are in my mind should I spit out. This is like.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Technological progress. It's just like fundamental beliefs about the world. So I think we should be open to that updating. And from a career perspective, if artificial superintelligence and some new form of free energy does everything better than us than it does and we'll have to reorient life in some pretty dramatic ways. But until then, I think we need to dispense with the idea that you can live in a world where you did a period of training for most of us. And then you're just going to benefit off only that training for the rest of your life. You don't have to keep relearning.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I mean, I've changed my mind about like fundamental beliefs I had, you know, when I was younger and it's weird to think. I mean, like, I was a grad student in environmental sciences. And I was firmly of the belief that environmental preservation and technological progress were at odds. And I feel completely the opposite now. You know, I think there are technological things we can do that ruin the environment, but I actually think the salvation of the environment requires.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“One of those same researchers did some work that showed that if you have a surgical procedure, and this research looked at 980,000 procedures. If you have a procedure on the surgeon's birthday, More likely to die within the 30 days after the surgical procedure, and they attribute it to the increased distractions that the surgeon is having on their birthday. They don't know whether it's external or internal distraction, but you might not want to have your, again, and this These are not huge effects. But over a large number of people, it makes a difference.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Right, that's suboptimal outcome. And the conclusion was that's because these researchers or these surgeons have done the same procedure so many times that they will continue to do it even if it's not the right solution to the problem or if data shows that it doesn't work anymore. And so it's called the Einsteung effect in psychology where you've done you've solved a problem a certain way so many times that you will continue solving problems that way, even if the problem is changed or if new data emerges that shows it's not the right solution. So it's not to say those people are important, but they are human, and so they fall prey to the Einstein effect. That's again why you want some of this mixture. And to tie in surgery, we've also been talking about distraction and focus.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“We can tie in a few of the things we've been talking about to card to surgery here. So this was this study. So I think because I'm conscious when I write about dangers, specialization is hugely important, obviously. And in medicine, It would be crazy to say that specialization in medicine, increasing specialization, hasn't been both inevitable and beneficial in many ways. But the point I was trying to make is that it's also an underrecognized double edged sword to the point where these two Harvard led studies found that if you're checked in to a teaching hospital with certain cardiac conditions on the dates of a national cardiology convention when the most esteemed specialists are away, you're less likely to die.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Sidestep, yep, for sure. I mean, some people would, well, I guess it depends. Some people would view that, and in some places it's going up, but I'd view it as a sidestep.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“It doesn't have to be progression, though, because But that's, I think, a very simple one, right? Or in my industry, it'd be like going from writing to editing would for sure be one, which is kind of a mix of writing and managing.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I mean, let's say, I think one of the easiest one is where you go from being a performer, a good performer, to being someone who's managing other performers, right? Oh, okay. So that's kind of a classic one.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Not changing industries, although changing industries, there was a bunch of lower level stuff and changing industries was useful at times also. But to be an executive in a particular industry, lots of job functions across an industry.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I mean, that was pretty much it across a half million members that Strong's predictor of who was going to go on to become a future executive was the number of different job functions that they'd worked across in industry.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“So maybe you should build another product where They can build a narrative into it and say, here's why I switched, here's what I learned.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“That was on about a half million members. Yeah. And the interesting thing about that was, when I was in contact with LinkedIn, talking about that and trying to get some of that data. I said, I kind of feel like your guy's product might militate against people doing this because you're saying this is who's doing the best, but they might want a much cleaner kind of linear trajectory.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“But actually, a study I loved in the book found that if you force older people to do something new, it can be some Sudoku or something, even if they don't get good at that thing, if it's new to them, it will improve their openness to experience. So you can actually stem the decline of openness to experience. It's not inevitable. Just by forcing yourself to do new stuff that you're not competent at is great for brain health. It makes your life feel longer because our memory works in sort of chapters where when you try new stuff, it's like a new chapter. So it'll make your life feel like it's not passing it as quickly. And it keeps your openness to experience from declining. And so just like picking something to do that's new, even if you're not planning getting really good at it, I think is important.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“And to that point of the so-called big five personality traits in psychology, one of them is called openness to experience, which is the most predictive of creativity. And in middle age, it reliably...”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“each one of which takes a separate picture and they are synthesized in the dragonfly's brain. And so these people are gathering all these different perspectives and they can seem sort of confused and equivocal. So they might not make for good TV guests they actually found in the research because they don't go on and say this is how it is like the housing crash is coming and they're more circumspect in some ways. They might not be as good TV guests, but they're very good forecasters.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Intelligence community in the United States that had access to classified information that they did not, they beat them handily. And I just wouldn't have believed that unless I saw it, that body of research about forecasting, the ability to see around the corner a big aspect of what made people good at it was actually the researcher who led this work described those people as having dragonfly eyes. Dragonfly's eyes are made of thousands of different lenses.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“They would wrap everything into that story, basically. So in this research, they were called the hedgehogs, who knew one big thing, whereas the good forecasters were the foxes who knew many little things, and sometimes they had an area of expertise, and sometimes they didn't, but more important than what they thought was how they thought. They would collect different perspectives. They'd use social media. Anything they had to take their own hypothesis and get other people to falsify it for them. And those people turned out to be the best forecasters. And when they were put together in groups with one another, they became even better because they had this approach of sort of borrowing from the scientific method to test their own ideas, basically. And it just surprised me that these sort of random people in many cases in a tournament where they were pitted against”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Correct, like that there's going to be, and it would be very specific, it would be a 20% chance that within the next 12 months there will be a military confrontation that causes at least five casualties in the South China Sea. Like you had to be very specific so that they could say if someone was right or wrong. And they needed so many because they had to differentiate luck from good luck and bad luck from skill. And the worst forecasters turned out to be like the most narrowly specialized people who were, not that these people are not important for generating knowledge, but who came to see the whole world through sort of one lens or mental model and they had spent their whole career kind of studying one problem and would see the whole world around that.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Some of the research about forecasting totally shocked me. So the most famous work ever done on forecasting, making predictions, was a 20-year program of research that had people making predictions about geopolitical, you know, social technological events. And they had to get, they got 83,000 probability predictions because people had to make specific probability predictions of the likelihood of an event by a specific deadline.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“We want, but that we would have trouble teaching And then we can teach them on it. And I think the places that are looking to disrupt themselves keep sort of an eye open for that kind of thing. Not for every hire, but for some.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Let's go get someone with that, and we can coach them up on the stuff we're good at. So, an extreme example of this was this investment firm in Scotland I spent some time with Bailey Gifford, this like incredibly successful firm. And I think this is extreme, but someone there told me they won't hire anybody with an MBA. I think that's, I don't think you should rule out things like that. But anyway, but what they would go is they'd say, we want someone who has experience in this or that or this kind of thinking. Let's go get them because we can't teach that thing. And then we can coach them up on finance. It's going to take them an extra few months to get going because we don't have to teach them. But the stuff that why should we hire, for exactly the stuff that we can most easily teach? Hire for the...”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“And I don't think you can create these people from whole cloth, but I think you can absolutely stifle them. by not allowing them to do that kind of moving around internally. And so I think when you're looking at hiring, I think the organizations that I've been around at least disrupt themselves, continually, instead of waiting to get disrupted, reserve at least some of their hiring, for instead of saying here's a square peg for a square hole that we need tomorrow, they say, What is something we want that we would have trouble teaching?”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Interesting because that feels a little related to, I think, an important idea that we didn't talk about from range has to do with so-called serial innovators. These are people who make repeated creative contributions to their organizations no matter where they are, even when they're changing. Like I said, changing places. And these people, like a woman named Abby Griffin, a professor and her colleagues who studied these people, some of the descriptions of who they are. These are like literal phrases from her work. They are systems thinkers. They read more and more widely than their peers. They have a need to learn outside their domain. They have a need to communicate with people with expertise outside of their own area. They appear to flit among ideas, which doesn't usually sound like a compliment. They repurpose things that are already available in new ways. All these sorts of things. And you can feel in her writing, almost, she's almost like talking to HR people saying, just so you know, when you define a role too narrowly, you're making sure you select these people out or force them to go somewhere else to try to cultivate that kind of breath.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I mean, you can measure it very easily in things like their aerobic capacity, you know, the amount of oxygen that they can move through their body. I mean, some of the initial studies of this were done in scenarios like that, where you had everyone doing the exact same training. You were literally measuring physiological parameters. You can do it in other types of cognitive testing and ability testing. If you're looking for a sort of specific task, that's a little harder. If you're looking for a task that's customized to something in your business, I think that's more difficult. It's going to be a little more subjective.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“I was going to say it depends how quickly you need them to get going, right? If you need to know what they know today and they need to be using that thing tomorrow. One thing. But if it's about how good they're going to get in the long run, you just shouldn't assume that what you're seeing today predicts their ability to improve.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“And that's a huge deal because we usually judge people's potential based on what we see right now or what we see at baseline before they've really had a chance to train. But I think the science shows is that this talent of trainability is even more important than talent at baseline. And so if you're trying to evaluate people before they've really had a chance to find a training that fits for them, again, it's a messy answer because it means people have to experiment with the kind of training that works for them and that trainability is the most important kind of talent. And I think that's a different picture of talent.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“In the sports gene, I think the most important idea that we haven't discussed is that talent at baseline The tal You take a test in something, let's say you haven't trained in that thing that we'll call that your talent baseline. is sometimes correlated with your ability to improve from training. So people, training looks just like medicine because of differences between us. Some medicine might work for you in a way that it doesn't for me. Training is similar. Two people will get different results from the same exact training. And sometimes how good you are to start is predictive of how rapidly improve, but very often it is not.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Well, that's the point. They should worry. I think if we. If we were where we are and not worried right now, I think that would be a lot worse”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Unfortunate. I mean, I think a good sign though, I think, is that even the Kind of technologists who I think are usually prone to hyperbole and saying like, this will be the greatest thing even when it's obviously not going to be are sounding some notes of caution with this one in an early stage. And so I think that's a tuned other people to some of those notes of caution. I don't think that gets us out of the woods by any stretch.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“That's not something I think we can really afford. And what sort of helped solve the problem is that when lots of people got urbanized for the Industrial Revolution and looked around and said, hey, you have the same problem that I have, we need to band together for collective action. I think the challenge now is we're like an invisible factory. So it's harder to get people to collectively act because we're not sitting next to each other dealing with this problem. But I think we need to start thinking as a group. This technology is cool. Identifying problems that we want it to work on, not just building it out for the sake of just it's cool. What kind of world we want to live in? I think we need to be asking those questions.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“You know, I thought that the industrial revolution, which pulled ultimately led to pulling billions of people out of poverty, changed everything. I thought that because productivity increased so much that wages and things would have increased right along with them. But it turns out that there's pretty good evidence that there was actually a gap of probably about 40 years between the increase of productivity and the increase of wages. That's not good. Like a 40-year gap between a huge technological disruption and like shifting.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“So, I think even if they do get to the point where they're better than us at everything, there's still roles for humans, but incredible amount of disruption, right? Like what really worries me. I mean, I was reading about. Last year about technological innovation in history, you know, and we have like, to put it in a very coarse nutshell, it's like for 300,000 years, we lived like squirrels. And then for 10,000 years, we lived like farmers. And then 250 years, it's like everything changed every generation like crazy. And that's been hard to adapt to. And I think”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Even if it comes to that point, even if it comes to that point, they'll still be the issue of comparative advantage, which is that these models are incredibly energy intensive, right? And so you'd want to delegate energy to them for the things that you really want them to do. So even if they are, do end up better than us at everything because energy is not unlimited, there will still be things that are more valuable to have us doing than to have them doing, right? I mean, that's the case all the time. You may be better at certain things in your business, but you're not doing them because it's a comparative advantage for you to do this instead of those other things.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“And one guy was saying, We'll have artificial general intelligence within three years for sure. And the other guy was saying, I think this is a glorified toy. I still use Google more. And these were two people with similar expertise with incentives aligned, which to me suggests the degree to which even the people working on this stuff don't totally understand what its capabilities are or what it's doing. And so I think there's a lot that's unknown.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Maybe the strategic level, maybe these tools will be better at the strategic level than we would ever be. I still think there'll be a role for us in determining what their goals should be. And that's a whole other level of strategy is like what kind of world do we want to live in. I don't think in the near term that we're going to be taking our cues from them in that role. But I think even the people, like last year I was sitting around a campfire with one guy who's running a generative AI company and another guy who was like his first investor. and who himself had worked in AI, like you know, they were both technologically adept, incentives aligned”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Two amateur chess players with three laptops. They knew something about chess, they knew something about algorithmic search, and they could coach the computers where to look. Like they couldn't even analyze their own games in like the winner's press conference at a deep level because they didn't know enough about chess. But I think the lesson there is when the tactical part was outsourced, it shifted, first of all, changed the people who were the best at the task like this, and it shifted the humans to the more strategic level. And so I think that's what we need to be ready to think about. What can we hand off so that we shift to a more strategic level”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Well, like when IBM's deep blue beat Gary Kasparov in chess in 1997 and he noticed that it beat Gary Kasparov, he was so much better when he was the best in the world at the time. Now, like a free app on your phone would be Kasparov. And he noticed the computer was so much better tactics. These are these small patterns of moves that he had spent his life memorizing, but he noticed it wasn't as good as strategy, which is how to arrange the battles to wage the war. So he promoted what he called freestyle chess tournaments, where humans' computers could play in any combination, and the winners were neither supercomputers nor grandmasters, nor grandmasters with supercomputers.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Yeah, but first of all, I have yet to hear the problem of like, wow, too many people are having too easy access to radiology, right? Like I think we want more of this service. But I think most doctors are not doing Dr. House. Most of the stuff they're seeing is something they've seen a million times. And I think a really important role for them is strategic of, well, what should this mean to the person? How should I deal with them? And what's reasonable to implement in their life and what's feasible for them to do to make a change? And so I think it'd be great if we could shift. I don't think it will replace those doctors. I think it might shift them to a more strategic role where they don't have to spend time doing the sort of more tactical stuff and can do the more strategic stuff. So that's been, even in chess, you know, like when...”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“But it fundamentally changed the job from someone who's doing these repetitive transactions, repetitive cash transactions, to someone who's like a marketing professional and a customer service representative and maybe a financial advisor. It shifted them to these strategic goals where it's much broader mix of strategic skills. So if we can outsource some of that kinder learning environment repetitive stuff to shift humans to being more strategic, I think that's like a good thing, right? You think about, I know radiologists have been some of the people deal with medical imaging have been some of the people who have often in these reports by banks that say who's going to be replaced, they're often high on the list because they say the technology can read these pictures very easily.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“The introduction of the ATM in the United States happened around 1970. So cache machine. And I went back and looked at news coverage and it says every 300,000 bank tellers are going to go out of business overnight. And instead what happened over the next 40 years is there were more ATMs, there were more bank tellers, not fewer because ATMs made branches, bank branches cheaper to operate. So there were fewer branches overall, a fewer tellers per branch, but more branches overall, sorry.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“And it really helpfully will show the snippet of how that the target paper was cited in these other ones. I used to have to spend like go sit in a research library and be doing that by like scanning down a paper to find that. So it's like a day now is an hour. And I love that. Like if that means my books don't sell as well, but I get to learn 10 times as much science, that's a trade-off I'm definitely willing to make personally. I'm not saying everyone should be willing to make that, but I'm willing to make that trade off. But in terms of work generally being disrupted, Yeah, I mean, I think the model that I think of for sort of, there's no singular model, but for how technological innovation. Has disrupted work in the past, a model that I like that I can tell sort of quickly.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“What do I do with my future? I mean, it might touch everything, but one I love playing with it. So I have these competing forces of like maybe it'll, you know, I'm a very curious person. And so if I play with probably about four different AI programs a day. But the one that's the most useful to me is called site.ai. Again, is that I don't have like any affiliation with any of these things. I'm just a subscriber. S-C-I-T-E. Where I can put in a scientific paper and it'll make like a map showing all the other papers that cite it and it'll try to automatically sort them into those that agree and disagree.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Force myself to adhere to that, and one of the first things I noticed was it's I usually just don't write the chapters in order. I started with this book with my normal process of I'm going to jump in with chapter five because I just did the research. And I realized because I was starting to see like this is going to break some of the structure up and downstream. Leaving all these blanks because I don't know what I will have already said. So I actually have to go back and start an order. So now, you know, after being in writing for whatever like almost 20 years. Suddenly I have a totally new work process and I'm writing order for the first time, which is interesting and a bit scary. But I'm writing at length too. I'm actually going to turn in a book at the length of a book for the first time.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Harder it is for me to draw the boundaries of what is inbound because the topics I take on in my books are by definition can't be perfectly answered. Balance of nature and nurture in developing a skill. How broad are specialized to be and when? And so I've had so much trouble saying this is the boundary for what fits in here. And so I myself wanted to get better at learning how to use constraints in my own work. So for the first time with this book, for the first time I said, because for both of my previous books, I've written like 150% the length of a book and then had to cut back because I just shove in everything I think is interesting. This time I said, I'm going to have an architecture ahead of time.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Hot streaks, right? You want to focus into a hot streak eventually. And it also came out of this aspect of me search. I'll research as me search, where my own biggest challenge, the bigger my projects are and books being big projects for me.”
2024-09-02 · The Diary of a CEO · David Epstein: 10,000 Hours Is A Lie! The Morning Habit That’s Secretly Ruining Your Day! · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT