YouSaid · the spoken record
Gary Friedman
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- 60
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- 2026-07-05
- most recent
- 2026-07-05
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- 1
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“wait for the Fed to hopefully drop rates. And Friedman is essentially doing the opposite of all that. And his thesis for why is the part I really want, I think, listeners to lock into and decide for themselves how they feel about it. His view is that when a market freezes like this, your competition shrinks. They panic, they pull marketing dollars, they delay launches of new collections, they close locations. And it's true that a growing number of online D2C furniture brands have also simply ceased operations entirely in the last years. So Friedman's view is that the competition is evaporating while everyone else waits for the weather to change. And if you lean in and aggressively invest while everybody else retreats, the opportunity is there to capture more than just a few percentage points of market share. And that's why RH has increased the number of galleries from 24.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Yeah, they probably aren't sensitive to buying a new couch for $10,000. But the question is, do they need to buy a new couch at all? And if you're staying in the same house, you probably don't need to, right? There's less often are you going to have a need for new furniture, whereas every time you move, you want to restyle things, especially if you're on the wealthier side, you have more flexibility of, you know, you want to tailor the furniture you have exactly to the living space that you have. And so there is a very direct correlation between turnover and the housing market, especially at the higher end of the housing market and sales for RH. And so in this situation where things are a little slower and the market is a little more frozen up, conventional wisdom would be to say that you hunker down, you cut SG&A, you cut overhead, you pause new product launches, maybe you close some stores and you.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Maybe similar quality somewhere else. So, yeah, you know, the housing market isn't the most robust it's ever been at the moment. But management has been pretty transparent about this. Gary Friedman has basically said the quiet part out loud on earnings calls, suggesting that there hasn't been any meaningful sustained recovery in luxury home sales. And he's not expecting one until interest rates come down meaningfully and stay down. And so even worse though is that you've got people like Jamie Diamond, the CEO of JPMorgan, issuing these public warnings that inflation is stickier than people think, which is basically code for, hey, don't bet on the Fed bailing out this market anytime soon by cutting interest rates.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Brutal is, I think, the right way to put it. You know, just the headline numbers home prices are up 40 to 50% since the pandemic started, and mortgage rates have been hanging above 7%. So the price of the asset and the cost to finance the asset are both blowing out at the same time compared to what it would have cost to purchase the same property just a few years ago. And so it's a double whammy to affordability, which is why you've seen the market just completely freeze up. And so for first-time homebuyers, the cost can just be obscene compared to renting, right? You know, my mortgage, for example, I think it's basically twice what our rent was. And so if you're an existing homeowner who bought a house in 2021 with a 2.5% interest rate, you sort of have these golden handcuffs. You know, your home is appreciated, which is great. And you have a killer interest rate. But if you want to move, you're going to lose that rate and probably have a dramatically higher payment for a property of”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Well, I mean, isn't it obvious? You know, like, of course, yachts help sell sofas and the strategy is truly experiential, I would say. And that's why they're selling a lifestyle vision. RH wants you to be wowed by every touch point you have with their brand. And while some of these things seem like obscene uses of shareholders' money, they do double as viral marketing. And the idea is that you experience one of their yachts or restaurants or galleries and you think, wow, I trust this brand to, I don't know, design my kitchen. And maybe I'm going to spend $100,000 doing it.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Well, you know, when you can't say your brand served Napoleon, I guess it makes sense why they have to buy prestige with customers by offering incredible yachts like the RH3, which costs 150,000 euros to rent for a week in the busy season, but don't worry, fortunately, that price comes down to the very modest rate of 130,000 euros per week in the offseason.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Look like where you can buy an entire set that's tastily curated in one fell swoop rather than mixing and matching products across variants. And so this is a company whose median customer almost certainly has a multi-million dollar net worth and where the average order value is likely more than $1,000, but can easily scale to $50,000 or more if you're purchasing multi-room installations. The thing is with their target demo of high net worth and ultra high net worth families worth more than $20 million, this is a group that owns nearly four homes on average and spends six and a half times more on furnishings than the average owner of one single family home.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Of the company's equity in debt. And yeah, so management has supposedly a pretty credible plan to become debt-free by 2029. So that's important to know for starters. And we'll get more into that. But, you know, I think that all makes the stock interesting because there is a good reason for it to be overlooked with the debt and therefore potentially misvalued by the market. And then I'd argue rather than competing in a more commoditized industry, like just simply selling furniture, RH sells a lifestyle vision. And I know that sounds like consultant word salad, but really their business is more about selling design inspiration for luxury spaces to high net worth families and their designers. And so you come to an RH store or scroll through their brochures or source books, as they call them, to see what your outdoor patio could.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Anyways, though, after you've studied so many businesses, you start to feel like you've seen it all. And then it comes along a company that still manages to flip the world upside down for you. And that's how I felt with our age. I think it'll come as a surprise to no one that I've never shopped at an RH store because I'm a stingy value investor. If I spent 10 grand on a couch, I would just be kicking myself for not putting that money into stocks instead. And so, you know, I thought because I've been furnishing my house for the last few months. Why not invest in the company behind my dream living room? And if I do fabulously well in an RH investment, well, then maybe that'll help me rationalize splurging on the furniture. So obviously I'm kidding a bit. You know, the setup is really interesting. And for starters, most investors will immediately screen out the company because it has a ton of debt, twice the market.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT
“Think I want to start with pointing out to the audience how painful it was for Daniel to recognize pretty good engineering over at Ferrari, right? It's a subtle thing, but you can pick up on that German-Italian engineering rivalry for automobiles.”
2026-07-05 · We Study Billionaires · TIP828: Restoration Hardware (RH): Building a Luxury Empire From Scratch w/ Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT