YouSaid · the spoken record

Major Garrett

lines on the record
58
first
2022-11-03
most recent
2022-11-03
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1
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podcast

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  1. “To a COVID infection. But I think there's going to be a Sense of in places like Nevada where the governor Sicilac is working really hard Yeah, Democratic governor working really hard. He's got great ads about sports and jobs and all the things he's done. But there's an undertow, especially in Nevada, about lockdowns and their economic effect. And I think in a couple of other places, you're going to see a kind of... Long COVID aspect as part of if Democrats lose and Republicans prevail, not universally and not nationwide, but in certain places that will be an undertow of its own.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  2. “And the idea about public safety, and you could have a statistical argument about by order of magnitude, how much worse is it than it was in the seventies and 80s, or you can say, is it worse in red states or blue states doesn't matter when public safety cuts, it usually cuts deeper than almost any other issue other than the economy. And so those things are combining to take away that sort of, well, I feel comfortable economically, I feel public safety comfort. Therefore, I'm going to make this a Biden or Trump. And who do I like better? Now it's more like What am I satisfied or dissatisfied with? And that dissatisfaction seems to be trending toward Republicans, and it's part of this underlying atmosphere. And one other thing I would say, look at Nevada, maybe other states, but Nevada in particular to me feels like a state where we could describe something like long political COVID. Long COVID is a diagnostic description of a long illness related to the illness.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  3. “Think that's another dimension to this, David, and I've been talking to a lot of people who are working in the field in a lot of these campaigns and knocking on doors and doing the canvas and the direct voter contact. And many of them are Democrats, some are Republicans, and the Republicans are telling me, look, we were doing this work in 2018 and 2020. 2018, it was really, really hard. There was such a reaction against Trump. It was very hard to make any headway at all. In 2020, it was sort of a little bit different, but in both instances, those swing voters, particularly in the suburbs and the excerbs, which are different places, but equally important, they certainly were in 2020, felt that their economic situation and their public safety orientation was such that they could make a more personalized decision about what they preferred. Now because their economic situation is noticeably different, inflation is in front of their eyes every day. If they're looking at their 401ks, if they have them, they have taken a hit.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  4. “Imagine a scenario in which they pick up 15 to 20 house seats. They can also imagine a strategy and they're putting money on a lot of races that are at the margins where that could go up to 30 or maybe 35. I don't think we're talking 50 or 60 or anything like that, in part because Republicans and the House races won a lot of races in 2020. That was a rejection of President Trump, but not Republicanism because they did well down ballot. On the Senate races, I think Nevada is very difficult for Democrats. Arizona is getting closer than Democrats are comfortable with. Wisconsin feels like it's slipping away. So you're left with Pennsylvania, Georgia, and then you're suddenly worried about New Hampshire maybe, and maybe Washington. So it just feels like the field is expanding before Republicans' eyes and receding before Democrat's eyes.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  5. “Times when an atmosphere or a wave ticks over ten or fifteen races just by the hair's breadth, and that's the Dimensional difference between a huge wave and something that looks more statistically normal in a first midterm election after a change in the presidency. I think we're in that in-between space. I think Republicans certainly can.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  6. “Never goes away or coalescing to counter what was for two or three months substantial grassroots energy within Democrats in reaction to the Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade. As you know, David, there is an ebb and flow in political conversations. There's an ebb and flow in momentum. And after the Dobbs decision, Democrats who were really, really down on the dumps, Biden's numbers were way down. They didn't seem to have any either messaging or set of accomplishments they could point to got a little bit of a message, put some accomplishments on the board, and began to narrow the gap and felt that there was a possibility of pushing back against what looked like a red tide or a red wave. That optimism has begun to diminish. That's certainly, I think, the case more precisely in house races. I think in Senate races it's very close. But I don't need to tell you, David, you've lived this on both sides of the equation.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  7. “Just one voice, but Governor Newsom has just gone through a recall election in California a year ago. So he is in the midst of this environment. He lived through it. He prevailed on that recount with the help of a lot of Democrats nationally who poured a lot of money and a lot of attention into that race. He pulled through. He's now on a much better political position, but he's scanning the sort of horizon. And he feels like the shift that has begun to exhibit itself in polls is very real. And in the last week or two, inflation, public safety, the persistent issue of immigration which among Republican voters and”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  8. “So I was just in Santa Fe, New Mexico over the weekend, and I talked to California Governor Gavin Newsom, who was there on behalf of the Democratic Governor, Michelle Lujan Grisham. He doesn't have a close reelection race, but he was there because she does. And that's kind of a surprise. And I said, are Democrats on defense? He said, yeah. I said, Does it feel to you like a red wave? He said, Yes, it does. Said, I'm not paid to say that I'm supposed to be the cheerful optimist, but I'm also a pragmatist. He said, I'm looking at the data, but I can also feel it. I said, what does it look like in California? He said, there are four house races in California that five or six weeks ago weren't competitive, but are now.”

    2022-11-03 · The Axe Files with David Axelrod · Ep. 510 — Major Garrett · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source