YouSaid · the spoken record

Ian Bremmer

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122
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2026-04-16
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2026-04-16
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  1. “Last June. Iranians are developing their ballistic missiles. They're developing their nuclear enrichment. Iranian enrichment. They're like stockpiling at higher levels 60%. And the Israelis want to go in. Trump's providing intelligence. He doesn't want to go. Kind of dangerous. The Israelis go in. It's enormously popular. It's going well, succeeding. Trump's like, I want a part of that. That's successful. So he joins it. Second time, Israel took casualties, about 100 killed, I think, in the course of that 12-day war. United States, Iran talked big, did not hit the Americans. They threw some missiles at that Aladdin base in Qatar.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  2. “This is not Trump's first rodeo with the Iranians. In his first presidency, the Iranians were engaging in strikes against the Americans directly and with proxies, bases in Iraq, other places, also were taking on strikes against the biggest refinery in the world, in Saudi Arabia, those drone strikes, you may remember. The Saudis and the Emiratis were telling the Americans, when are you going to do something? We need to take some action. Trump didn't won't do anything. They're getting angry, right? Finally, the end of his presidency, he orders pretty bold move, the assassination of this incredibly charismatic military leader Qasim Sulaimani, the head of the Kuds force, as it was called, in Iran. And Iran was so angry. And they were going to destroy the United States. Death to America, what are they actually doing? Nothing. And then...”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  3. “If they had elections in Venezuela, it is not inconceivable that she would win. In a democratic election, which blows your mind, right? Whole hundreds of political prisoners, they've released. I talk to leaders all over South America All think this was a success. This is enormously popular among the populations in those countries because they care about security. That's what they've been voting on. Their elections have been about the economy and local security. And Venezuela has been a problem for them. They're exporting people, causing crime, Colombia, Peru, Brazil, this Chile, right? This has been a serious issue. Trump is hugely feeling great, successful. And now he's like, I can do that in Iran. I can do it even bigger. So that's the first reason. I said three reasons. That's the first reason. Second reason.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  4. “It is the most successful military operation you can possibly imagine. Not a single American serviceman or woman is killed. They go in, they take Maduro out. They don't kill him. They don't injure him. They bring them to a jail in Brooklyn, right here in New York, out of borough, but still counts. New York City, right? Extraordinary. And he's facing justice. And meanwhile, Del Codriguez, right, suddenly vice president becomes acting president. It's like, sir, we want to work with you guys. We don't want any of that, right? And so you've got a new government that has a different trajectory, but it's basically the same regime. And they say, whatever you want, we will work on. We'll open our oil sector. We'll open our mining sector. We'll have better regs. We'll try to improve the economy for the average Venezuelan. I mean, they're starting to become popular. In another year,”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  5. “Yeah, and because all their engineers are gone, most of them in the oil patch up in Canada, which has similar geology to it. Because they've destroyed so much of their infrastructure, it's broken down because the governance structure isn't there yet. They don't have people that are capable of actually ensuring that there will be contracts that you would follow through on engagement. People that still have huge lawsuits that need to be resolved, right? So all of this stuff. But to get to your, I don't want to lose sight of your why did Trump do the Cinerar. So the first point is beginning of the year Trump goes in to Venezuela, right?”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  6. “Was relevant. They have the world's largest oil reserves. It is going to take far more years than Trump will be in office to make that meaningful. So it sounds good from a branding perspective, and you're going to see a few hundred thousand more barrels a day, but it's going to be years if you saw that testimony by the CEO of ExxonMobil, who said, you know, Venezuela is not investable today. And Trump was angry at him and all the other energy CEOs like, thank you for saying that. We're not saying anything. Look at him. At him, not much courage among those CEOs publicly. So the oil is a great headline for Trump. It doesn't matter much for Trump's presidency.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  7. “Did he do this? I think there are three reasons why he did it. I'll take you through. First reason, you said Venezuela, not on this map. Shouldn't be relevant to this map. Turns out it's relevant to this map. Trump had plans to take out Maduro. He's got a lot of people inside his administration that see this guy as a real problem. And by the way, a problem for the region. Eight million Venezuelan refugees destabilizing the region. Lots of drug export, destabilizing the region. So he had been planning to do something.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  8. “And Europeans who fought side by side with the Americans when the Americans asked them to almost all of them sending troops and many of them wounded and dying in the same numbers, the same percentages, just as courageous as the Americans were. So Americans wanted an end to that. Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, what the hell are you guys doing? We're not benefiting from that. Stop it. Trump stopped it. So why do he do this?”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  9. “Literally one of the eight wars that he said that he had stopped was with Iran. This was not what he was voted in on. He was voted in. He ended the war in Afghanistan. I mean, he cut the deal with the Taliban. Was it a great deal? Yeah, for the Taliban, it was pretty good, but it got the Americans out 20 years, a trillion dollars fought on the backs of the Afghan people and of Americans, not wealthy Americans, not people like Trump that could find a way out of service, but poor Americans.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  10. “I wonder when we're going to get this big map in front of us here. We haven't even touched the Middle East. We literally haven't touched it.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  11. “Midterm election. So for now There's nothing happening except Trump and the reaction to Trump. Then after that, we have a two-year-long, God help us, election in the United States, billions of dollars will be spent, and people will have far too much information about far too many of these people. Then we can have a conversation. It is too early to talk about 2028 right now.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  12. “Means literally nothing to me. I think it was Jim Carville, the great democratic political strategist that was talking about November. He said, you know what the Democrats need to do? They need to all get on a plane and go to Turks and Caikos until after the election. Say nothing, be absent. Just do not be and allow. It's like the Sun Tzu. It's like when your opponent is making mistakes, stay out of their way.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  13. “Elections, right? Mostly. The reality is Future person. We're New York right now. Zoran mom Dani, a democratic socialist, is the mayor of New York City, which What does that tell you? That tells you that there's still a demand for something very different. And we don't know, is it going to come from the left or the right? But we know that that demand of uncertainty is growing. And it's not just growing in the United States. It's growing in the global order. Because if the Americans are no longer willing to act as the global leader, but no one else is capable of filling those shoes, you don't have a G7 or a G20 where governments come together and agree on the rules of the road. You have a G0, an absence of global leadership where people, the powerful make the rules that are useful to them and the weak have to accept that, have to find a way to live under that. That's where we're headed.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  14. “Trump will fail. And I think that the level of policy incompetence and unwillingness to take on expertise is ensuring that it will fail. He's quite unpopular on so many issues right now. He's going to lose in a big way in the midterms coming up in November. And that will make him look like a lame duck and Republicans will start to think about their own futures as opposed to holding on to this 80-year-old guy. Having said that, we will not have resolved these underlying challenges for average Americans. So there will still be a demand for a political revolution in the United States. The question will be, will the next person that comes and captures that, are they going to be focused on themselves or focused on the country? Trump actually identified the symptoms and was able to benefit as a political entrepreneur twice from getting elected in free and fair.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  15. “And a lot of the rest of us have not been thinking long term. We're like just in time, globalization. How do we make the most money now for our next quarterly return? And that reality is making China not a better economy today. But it's setting them up for a much stronger long-term trajectory. So as a risk, you're going to ask me to do this. It is not as critical as the US political revolution because this is focusing on 2026 and China is playing out over a longer period of time. But it is absolutely severe because the Chinese understand that long-term as countries are saying the Americans are less predictable and we're more vulnerable to their sudden changes in decisions, many more countries are saying, well, we want to hedge and do more with the Chinese. And those decisions really matter.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  16. “In every device in your car battery, it's in your missile systems and your advanced weaponry that keeps you safe at home or allows you to go to war against somebody. I mean, you can't have an advanced economy without critical minerals and rare earths. And the Chinese have been investing at scale globally in that capability for decades now, thinking long term.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  17. “The second one is the big question of how the second most powerful country in the world is responding to all of that. Now, we in the top risks piece talked about overpowered, overpowered being the global energy dynamic, how China has been working to build the most effective electric vehicles all over the world at scale and the batteries all over the world at scale and the critical minerals and rare earths for decades now, not just having access so they can exploit them, but also so that they can reprocess them.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  18. “That is a critical risk. That's the most important. Without any question. And again, I say critical in terms of it is happening right now. It is overwhelmingly likely it's overdetermined. And the impact is massive. So there's no way you could look at the geopolitical order today and not say this is the most important thing. That is not just driving headlines, but that's creating real movement in how the global economy works, how global politics works, global security, everything is driven by this change.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  19. “We don't want the open borders that used to welcome so many people from around the world. We want a very different set of rules. The American system is not being challenged by the Chinese saying we don't want the Americans themselves and the leadership are saying we refuse to be the leader that we used to be.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  20. “I think that there are three that are really big. The first is that the United States has become the biggest driver of risk, the biggest driver of geopolitical uncertainty in the world. And we see that with the tariffs. We see that with Venezuela. We see it with Greenland. We see it with Iran. I mean, if there was that level of uncertainty in a smaller political system, and that happens all the time, we wouldn't care as much because the global impact would not matter. But everyone out there is affected by even small changes in the United States. Suddenly big changes in the United States, the Americans are saying we no longer want to play by the rules that we set up historically. We don't want the free trade system that we put together. We don't want to be the global policeman that is paying for the collective security.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  21. “This is our top risk report. We put it out at the beginning of every year. Try to help people around the world understand the risk environment globally.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT

  22. “They created a model which is so powerful that they couldn't release it because it would have been an immediate systemic risk to the global economy and our security. And artificial intelligence is eating its users. And we can talk about that.”

    2026-04-16 · The Diary of a CEO · World Collapse Expert (Ian Bremmer): The Real Crisis Is What Comes After Trump · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT