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Tyler Denk

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2025-05-02
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2025-05-02
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  1. If you don't, feel free to short it or sell it, and then obviously that starts a preference deck. So people can question the motives of all this, but in a free market theory, a great company that has a bunch of shorts against it, those shorts will get burned and incinerated and it will be painful, which is what happened to Tesla shorts after they actually shipped the Model 3, right? When they shipped that, it was like, oh my God, this is the best-selling car in the world. Oops, we made a mistake shorting this stock. It's an interesting company. I think the biggest news, obviously, in the industry that we should really get right to is Apple's control over the App Store because 30% tax to Apple.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  2. Also, people now explain their trades on social media as a regular practice. They talk about what they're doing and why. They do it because really two things. One, I think they really genuinely want feedback on their trades. Like they want people to understand, hey, here's my visas, here's why I'm doing it. And then there's, well, they want people to then either follow their trade or go against it, et cetera, and get that level of market feedback. So if you look at the funds like Hindenburg research, which I think is winding down, I think they made enough money they're going to wind down. But they would find a target. They would say, we believe this company is not worth what it's worth. We think that there are some issues with this company. Here's what we found in our research. By the way, we have shorted it. Now you read our research. If you think this is a good company, by all means, keep buying it.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  3. It's basically what autopilot's doing, except I think they actually make trades for you here. So whereas I think autopilot doesn't make the trade for you, they want to work with Robin Hood, et cetera. I think that people want to. Copy people's trades, but then I guess do you want people to copy your trades becomes the issue? And maybe you don't want people copying your trades because it's a lot of responsibility. So people have pitched me on doing an ETF, you know, and I might make some margin on or whatever, you know, when I'm doing my own book. I don't actually want that responsibility. I don't think it might be like a zone of excellence I could have, but I feel like my zone of excellence is podcasting and picking really early stage startups. So you got to focus on that.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  4. I know the people who do Pelosi tracker, and that's called autopilot. And Autopilot basically mimics people's trades. And I guess their concept is you would pay to subscribe to that. So if I was a more active trader, you would then, you know, every month I might give my trade and I would say, oh, I'm putting money into KDEF. And this is why I believe Korea's got really smart people. Samsung, you know, what is it, Hyundai? You know, like a lot of hardworking people in an interesting region of the world. And they're good at physically building stuff and they make hardware and they make software kind of reminds you of America industrious, you know, 1950s, 60 aesthetic, I think, or a culture in terms of wanting to grow and build stuff. So I kind of like the people. I like the place and I like the category. And yeah, as Tony Stark said, dad did it. We do it. I'm going to keep doing it. Selling weapons. It's all good. So autopilot's the other one.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  5. Too soon for that. I think it will, but you have to understand 63% of the workforce population is a pretty big number. You would have to have millions of jobs replaced by AI. And then if there were millions of jobs, it would be in certain categories, again, talking about the power. Would have groups of people fighting AI in the streets, in the unions, etc. So until we see that, it's probably not having yet. What's in the news?

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  6. To make me look smart, but you can see in the unemployment, just, you know, I think we're looking at the history of unemployment data. Of course, people are going to debate, do you trust data? Are you X-files? Do you think that somebody is, you know, cloning people or lying about the data? The reality is the data is directionally correct. 62% right now.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  7. Again, here we go politics. A lot of this election was based on people's feelings about the economy. One feeling that is absolutely incongruous to reality in the United States is the employment. There are so many jobs available here at great rates. However, Americans always want something a little bit better and they may not want a certain class of jobs and the jobs might be in regions where they're not and they're unwilling to move. But there's a reason why everybody wants to come here. It's because we have 4% unemployment. The only caveat to that lawn is if you look at labor participation, labor participation is at about 62-63% peaked under Clinton, about 69%. Alex loves pulling up the Fred chart of this as well.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  8. And you're on the beach where the best gallops in the world are, but you might be better served finding the best gallops, sourcing them from an outside vendor, and then having them die for scallops. Silly, stupid example. We live at the lowest unemployment of our lifetimes, Lon. People don't realize this. And this is one of the things.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  9. And you know, for entrepreneurs who are building startups, talent is critical, but we are at a junction in talent. And that's really important for people to understand. You can do more with less. Startups are crushing it. How are they crushing it? Well, the way startups are crushing is they're doing my ADD philosophy, automate, delegate, deprecate. What does it mean? You can automate a task using AI. Go ahead and do it, and then let everybody in the company work on something else that's higher level. If you can delegate it, hopefully to another region or an outsourced firm, you probably want to do that if it's not core to the mission. Why? Well, if you delegate it, you can focus on what is core to the mission. The example might be, you know, if you worked in a restaurant and you had this great, amazing Michelin stored restaurant, yeah, you might want to go die for scallops if you couldn't get them and you happen to have scallops, you know.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  10. Look at and understand if it is meaningful to startups. So, what's in the economic data here on Friday, May 2nd, 2025, Alex?

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  11. That actually would be delightful adventure if 80% of your returns came from the top 20. It's typically 99% of your returns come from your top 2%. So it is as polarizing as possible, which means it's confusing, which means everybody works really hard. And then sometimes people hit, and that's what we talk about here at this week in startups. We also run a program called Founder University. You can go to founder. where we teach these concepts and we teach people how to build companies. Typically they know 60, 70% of the curriculum we present to them. But the 20, 30, 40% they don't know, oh my God, those could be the things that change the fate of a company. We like to talk about big tech news here because that affects little tech and we like to talk about Little Tech because that means startups and once in a while we'll delve into politics if it has an impact. And there is always economic data that we like to just take a cursory look.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  12. Depends. You know, if you ran a supermarket, there would be some power law, like maybe the eggs and the milk, you know, outperformed everything else, but it might be a more fair distribution. Wouldn't be as extreme. And even amongst the power law, the Pareto principle, 80-20 rule.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  13. And that's Lon Harris, and our headquarters in Austin. I am in Miami for F1. All in's doing a little event. And he's Alex in Providence, Rhode Island.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source

  14. Hey, everybody, welcome back to this week in startups. I'm Jason Kalicanis. You know me from the All in podcast. You know me from Angel Investing the Award winning book in 12 language. It didn't win any awards, but it's in 12 languages. And I got paid a million bucks for it, so that's good for my first book. It works out. Angel, 12 languages. You read that, you learn how to Angel Invest. If you want an angel invest a little bit more, we have something called the syndicate.com. If you're an accredited investor, I'm starting to share deal flow on there. We've done about 300 deals. A couple of them have done extremely well over time, like calm.com, grin, and we've had some great returns, but you need to read the book. You need to understand angel investing before you get into it because it all follows the crazy power law. We had a great episode with Steven who wrote the book, The Power Law, an outsider who wrote just about the power law. Lon, you know the power law, the Pareto principle, the 80-20 rule.

    2025-05-02 · This Week in Startups · Apple's App Store Loss, AI Persuasion, and an Interview with Tyler Denk of Beehiiv | E2120 · IDENTIFIED FROM THE TRANSCRIPT · source